We are in a period when our sector will have to deal with major demographic changes in schools, elderly care and healthcare. We present analyses of these areas and try to learn from history to be better able to depict the course of developments. Besides demographic change we have had several years with high levels of investment resulting in greater costs. We expect net income for the sector to be a surplus of about SEK 10 billion in 2014. The level of net income will then decrease gradually. To achieve net income of more than SEK 8 billion in 2017, the tax rate will have to be increased by 0.29 percentage points, and government grants by almost SEK 11 billion compared with the present level.
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